2023上海新房总结 第1篇
下面看看静安区、杨浦区、长宁区、普陀区的新房情况。
静安区供应量集中在西藏北路和江宁路两个板块,均价在12万-13万/平方米。
在售项目、待售项目如下:
杨浦区的新房集中在东外滩、新江湾城、中原板块,供应套数最多的是瑞仕云曜璟庭591套。
在售项目、待售项目如下:
长宁区、普陀区的新房供应相比其他上海市区较少,均价也第一点。
在售项目、待售项目如下:
2023上海新房总结 第2篇
备受关注的徐汇滨江,云锦东方三期后面还有加推,从房产圈到财经圈。再到一些上海本地的媒体,_黄牛_事件引起了广泛关注与讨论。
一些人认为这种非法倒卖摇号资格的行为严重违规,损害了正常购房者利益,应该坚决打击。
而另一些人则认为,这种市场化交易本身是供需关系的自然结果,要从源头解决问题。
回想上海“徐博士”事件同样引发了大量的舆论,后续的事情大家都知道,相信更加完善和公平的房屋制度不久会到来。
说回正题,徐汇汇元玺、保利西岸徐汇项目,虹口海泰北外滩、虹盛里都是不错的新房。
2023上海新房总结 第3篇
接下来,让我们通过新房供应、成交及供求关系的数据对2023的上海楼市做一个总结。
供应数据
整体上扬,“稳”与“变”并存
2023年的月度供应数据经历了3次升高,2次跌落。6月份为2023年供应量最高的月份,超万套,主要受5批次新盘扎堆认购、开盘的影响。7月供应下降后,8月至年末持续着稳中有升的姿态。
整体来看,2023年维持着密集推盘的态势,
上扬趋势明显。
同比来看,
全年共12批次累计供应了90615套房源,与供应巅峰的2022年相比有所回落,但仍处于10年以来的高位。
成交数据
微幅下降,冷热分化剧烈
成交方面,我们先来看同比数据。
2023年新房成交量为80502套,同比呈微幅下降趋势,与供应量走势基本一致。成交均价为66486元/㎡,同比上涨,这是新房联动价不断上涨所致。
从2023全年来看,新房市场呈现先热后冷的态势。
上半年解禁之初,市场需求正浓,成交量处于高位。
下半年市场遇冷,成交量下降之后再难冲高。
“认房不认贷”政策发酵的9月份,成交量出现微幅上涨,但药效短暂。下半年的高位出现在最新政策出台生效的12月份,上升趋势明显,这正说明此刻市场需求需要强刺激、连环招来释放。
对于2024年楼市的期待,大部分来自对新政效果的检验及
更多救市政策的猜想。
从区域看,2023年成交最多的区域分别是
浦东、嘉定、青浦,均集中在外环以外的地区,这些地方土地供应充足,新盘数量多,面向的是上海最广大的刚需群体。
从这个数据也能看出各区的发展活力及上升空间,浦东产业兴盛,嘉定为五大新城势头最劲的区域,青浦则背靠大虹桥,正印证了产业带人气的说法,对离市中心较远的区域和板块更是如此。
从环线看,2023年的成交仍集中在外郊环间,占比,郊环以外占比。内中环土地紧缺,供应不足,直接体现在成交量上,触发积分的楼盘也一直集中在内中环。
从目前的土拍情况来看,2024年这一情况将得到缓解。
从总价段来看,500-800万总价的新房是成交主力,占比。总价300-500万总价的成交紧随其后,占比。
新房市场的主力逐渐升级来到了500万元以上。
总价段层面,全年数据与每月数据相比,更能避免各批次供应总价段的影响,
体现出更真实的市场需求。
从户型分布来看,3室户型已成主流,占比。
目前供应的新房中,80㎡以上基本均为3室设计,有的甚至配备双卫生间。这是开发商与购房者的共同选择,3室户功能性与隐私性兼具,符合现代城市及年轻一代的需求。
接下来我们来揭晓今年新房市场的TOP10,由
中建万科理想之地拔得头筹,这个冠军属于意料之中。这个成绩是其优秀区位、卓越产品力及接连4次加推共同作用的结果。
伴随着热销势头,
其“造城”、“造生活”的理念深入人心,理想之地的逆势畅销又为当下市场上了生动一课。
亚军与季军分别是象屿招商·公园1872、越秀保利嘉悦云上。
纵览新房市场的TOP10,验证了外环以外才是供应及成交主力、外郊环间热门地段的威力不容小觑这一事实,当然外环以外供应竞争已激烈至白热化阶段,这些楼盘能够脱颖而出离不开对产品的精细打造。
供求关系
供过于求,去化压力显现
2023年,新房供应
90615套,成交80502套。
供求比与2022年相比下降,为
,这说明新房市场供求比微幅收缩,属于供过于求的阶段,但这一数据仍比体感好上几分,也体现了上海楼市的实力与韧劲。
从去化数据来看,2023年的新房去化不容乐观,为,延续着2022年的惨淡颓势。如果供应继续加大,再加上现在的新房存量,去化难度将更大,特别是一些远郊新盘,2024年愈发任重道远。
蓦然回首,2023年已尽。数据告诉我们,不必太过悲观。
往属于2024年的前方看,期许与彷徨并存,机遇与挑战丛生。
无知无觉之中,我们正在和上海一起经历历史的重大时刻。
下半年两次政策大动作,整个市场如同久逢甘霖,结果收效并不达预期。希望2024年,春风化雨,安抚一下开发商与购房者焦躁的心。
2024年的上海楼市会发生什么?
上海调控政策会否有更大动作,比如放开限购?
新房市场能否与二手市场握手言和?新房行情能否
走出V字反转还是继续在U字底部徘徊?
新的一年,我们总带着一些拷问与希冀,对楼市也如此。
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